Carrick Rangers 2-1 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

Carrick Rangers
2-1 HT 0-0
Ballymena United
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2023/2024

Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.0
Over 2.5
39%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.75
2-3 Goals
47%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
3.24
6+ Goals
8%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 30% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.3
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.65
X/1
14%
4.09
X/2
9%
8.55
X/X
14%
5.41
2/1
5%
22.3
2/2
12%
6.35
2/X
4%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
46%
+14.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
54%
-14.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.8pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carrick Rangers v Ballymena United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 26%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.18/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.56
-36% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ballymena United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.12.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
09.09.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
29.04.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
14.02.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
07.01.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRK
26.11.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-2 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL

Carrick Rangers 2-1 Ballymena United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrick Rangers
2-1
AWAY Ballymena United
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers squeezed past Ballymena United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carrick Rangers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carrick Rangers had 49% of the ball to Ballymena United's 51%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballymena United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Carrick Rangers and 0.83 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United?

Carrick Rangers 2-1 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 46%, draw 27%, Ballymena United 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrick Rangers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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