Al Sadd 2-2 Al Wakrah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Cup, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 27%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.01/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.13
+50% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
5.0 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sadd
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Wakrah
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.63 xG 2.21
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
454 Passes 245
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
01.04.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-2 HT 1-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
25.09.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KATYK
14.09.2022 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
11.03.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
31.01.2022 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 0-6 HT 0-3 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sadd
2-2
AWAY Al Wakrah
1.32 xG 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
240 Passes 295
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Sadd vs Al Wakrah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd and Al Wakrah couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Sadd at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Sadd had 47% of the ball to Al Wakrah's 53%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.32 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Sadd and 0.83 for Al Wakrah.

What was the final score of Al Sadd vs Al Wakrah?

Al Sadd 2-2 Al Wakrah in the Qatar - Cup on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sadd vs Al Wakrah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Sadd 49%, draw 28%, Al Wakrah 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Sadd), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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