Al Rayyan 2-1 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Cup, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Rayyan
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Gharafa
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2.11 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
390 Passes 272
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
28.10.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 3-4 HT 2-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
07.10.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATYK
08.05.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
24.01.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
20.09.2022 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 4-3 HT 1-2 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KATYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Rayyan
2-1
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.10 xG 1.71
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
274 Passes 284
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Rayyan nicked a narrow win over Al Gharafa 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 21% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Rayyan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Rayyan had 50% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 50%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.10 to 1.71 — on chances, Al Gharafa could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Rayyan and 2.33 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa?

Al Rayyan 2-1 Al Gharafa in the Qatar - Cup on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Rayyan 41%, draw 21%, Al Gharafa 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Rayyan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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