CS Herediano 1-1 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.42/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.17
-2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alajuelense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
299 Passes 316
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-1 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
11.12.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
03.12.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 2-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
02.11.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-2 HT 1-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano CONOAK
29.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
26.10.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-2 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense CONOAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
1-1
AWAY Alajuelense
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano and Alajuelense shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CS Herediano had 60% of the ball to Alajuelense's 40%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CS Herediano and 1.00 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Alajuelense?

CS Herediano 1-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 38%, draw 26%, Alajuelense 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CS Herediano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →