Alajuelense 0-1 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 30%
+20% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.64/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.09
+4% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CS Herediano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.45 xG 1.44
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 Passes 299
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.12.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
03.12.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 2-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
02.11.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-2 HT 1-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano CONOAK
29.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
26.10.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-2 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense CONOAK
28.08.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-3 HT 1-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
0-1
AWAY CS Herediano
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano nicked a narrow win over Alajuelense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; CS Herediano found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Alajuelense had 64% of the ball to CS Herediano's 36%, shots finished 19-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alajuelense and 1.50 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?

Alajuelense 0-1 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 40%, draw 28%, CS Herediano 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alajuelense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
25 Feb 2024
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