San Carlos 1-1 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.8pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.69/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.37
-6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
04.11.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-1 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
03.09.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
12.03.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-1 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
16.01.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 1-1 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
01.09.2022 San Carlos San Carlos 2-2 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
21.07.2022 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 3-0 HT 2-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Carlos
1-1
AWAY Puntarenas FC
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 3
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos and Puntarenas FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was San Carlos at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, San Carlos had 61% of the ball to Puntarenas FC's 39%, shots finished 7-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Carlos and 1.33 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC?

San Carlos 1-1 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 48%, draw 29%, Puntarenas FC 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Carlos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Carlos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
25 Feb 2024
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