CSF Balti 0-1 Petrocub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - Cup, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
22%
+12.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrocub EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSF Balti
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Petrocub
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 5-1 HT 2-1 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLDK
20.04.2024 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-3 HT 0-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
09.03.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 5-0 HT 2-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
25.11.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 3-0 HT 3-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
23.09.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-4 HT 0-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
07.05.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 3-0 HT 2-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSF Balti
0-1
AWAY Petrocub
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSF Balti vs Petrocub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrocub nicked a narrow win over CSF Balti 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Petrocub as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, CSF Balti had 46% of the ball to Petrocub's 54%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Petrocub led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for CSF Balti and 3.83 for Petrocub.

What was the final score of CSF Balti vs Petrocub?

CSF Balti 0-1 Petrocub in the Moldova - Cup on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSF Balti vs Petrocub?

Before kick-off our model rated an Petrocub win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CSF Balti 35%, draw 24%, Petrocub 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Petrocub), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Petrocub) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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