FC Sheriff 1-1 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - Cup, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.64
Over 2.5
54%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.95
No
62%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
72%
-7.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.7pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
57%
-11.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
43%
+11.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
30%
+8.3pp
62%
BTTS No
70%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 9%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
454 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 188 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zimbru
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
07.04.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-1 HT 3-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
25.11.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-0 HT 2-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
24.09.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
06.05.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
01.04.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
1-1
AWAY Zimbru
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff and Zimbru couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Sheriff at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 71% of the ball to Zimbru's 29%, shots finished 18-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.33 for Zimbru.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Zimbru?

FC Sheriff 1-1 Zimbru in the Moldova - Cup on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 65%, draw 20%, Zimbru 15%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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