Zimbru 1-0 FC Sheriff — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - Cup, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
39%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
21%
2/1
3%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.4pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.1pp
39%
Away Win
54%
-14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
125 · 59% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Sheriff
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-1 HT 3-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
25.11.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-0 HT 2-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
24.09.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
06.05.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
01.04.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
18.09.2022 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
1-0
AWAY FC Sheriff
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs FC Sheriff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru edged past FC Sheriff 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (27% / 34% / 39%) promised a tight game; Zimbru found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zimbru had 41% of the ball to FC Sheriff's 59%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Zimbru and 1.50 for FC Sheriff.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs FC Sheriff?

Zimbru 1-0 FC Sheriff in the Moldova - Cup on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs FC Sheriff?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 27%, draw 34%, FC Sheriff 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Sheriff) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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