Dinamo Moscow 0-2 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Super Cup, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
29%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.65
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
13%
5.61
X/2
11%
5.36
X/X
14%
5.32
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
26.5
2/2
11%
3.43
2/X
9%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.3pp
29%
Away Win
38%
-9.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 1.92
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
254 Passes 404
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
04.10.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-0 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
23.09.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
29.08.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 4-1 HT 4-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
08.04.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-3 HT 2-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
20.08.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
0-2
AWAY Spartak Moskova
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova beat Dinamo Moscow 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Moscow at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 54% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 46%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.67 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moskova?

Dinamo Moscow 0-2 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Super Cup on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 41%, draw 30%, Spartak Moskova 29%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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