Al Nassr 3-1 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.29
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.09
2-3 Goals
41%
2.08
4-5 Goals
28%
2.56
6+ Goals
13%
5.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
73%
-4.9pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.7pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 14%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-35% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
36.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.9 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.26 xG 0.85
65% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
519 Passes 228
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
04.11.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
08.05.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
31.12.2022 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
04.02.2017 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
10.12.2015 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
3-1
AWAY Al Khaleej
3.78 xG 1.37
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
459 Passes 289
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr beat Al Khaleej 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Al Nassr had 59% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 41%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 3.78 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Nassr and 0.33 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Khaleej?

Al Nassr 3-1 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 68%, draw 20%, Al Khaleej 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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