Al Khaleej 0-1 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.4
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
55%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.74
Over 2.5
56%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.23
2-3 Goals
37%
2.09
4-5 Goals
27%
2.54
6+ Goals
16%
5.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+8.9pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.2pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-11.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
33%
+10.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
67%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 71%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
0.75/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.06
+23% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +37%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 467 · 85%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
16.8 Crosses 20.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Nassr
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.92 xG 1.15
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
214 Passes 537
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
08.05.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
31.12.2022 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
04.02.2017 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
10.12.2015 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
20.02.2015 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-1 HT 1-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
0-1
AWAY Al Nassr
0.64 xG 1.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
303 Passes 425
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr edged past Al Khaleej 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 43% of the ball to Al Nassr's 57%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.64 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Khaleej and 2.00 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr?

Al Khaleej 0-1 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 24%, draw 21%, Al Nassr 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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