Al Akhdoud 4-0 Abha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Abha EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -34%
1.32/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.45
-26% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
21.9 Crosses 19.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Abha
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.03 xG 0.72
45% Ball Possession 55%
22 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
268 Passes 368
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
04.11.2023 Abha Abha 3-2 HT 1-2 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
4-0
AWAY Abha
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
240 Passes 259
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Abha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Akhdoud swept aside Abha 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Akhdoud as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 49% of the ball to Abha's 51%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Abha?

Al Akhdoud 4-0 Abha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Abha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Akhdoud win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 51%, draw 21%, Abha 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Akhdoud), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Akhdoud) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
27 Apr 2024
18:00 Al Raed vs Al Ettifaq Analysis →
21:00 Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr Analysis →