Novi Pazar 1-0 Javor Ivanjica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.78
Over 2.5
37%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.96
No
64%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-4.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
47%
-11.2pp
64%
BTTS No
53%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Javor Ivanjica EU Bookmakers 21%
-18% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.43/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.51
-10% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
23.1 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Javor Ivanjica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.49 xG 0.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
352 Passes 180
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
01.12.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-0 HT 0-0 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
05.08.2023 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 3-1 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
04.11.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-1 HT 0-1 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
22.07.2022 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 2-1 HT 2-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
22.02.2021 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 1-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
15.08.2020 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-3 HT 2-2 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
1-0
AWAY Javor Ivanjica
1.05 xG 0.91
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
595 Passes 202
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Javor Ivanjica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar nicked a narrow win over Javor Ivanjica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Novi Pazar as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 71% of the ball to Javor Ivanjica's 29%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.05 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Javor Ivanjica led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.67 for Javor Ivanjica.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Javor Ivanjica?

Novi Pazar 1-0 Javor Ivanjica in the Serbia - Super League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Javor Ivanjica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 53%, draw 23%, Javor Ivanjica 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novi Pazar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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