Spartak Subotica 1-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.75
Over 2.5
38%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-7.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
53%
+8.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
47%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.34/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.67
+24% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.9 Crosses 20.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 1.34
57% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
393 Passes 248
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-1 HT 2-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
13.08.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 3-0 HT 1-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
1-1
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
1.35 xG 1.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
266 Passes 369
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica and Zeleznicar Pancevo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 42% of the ball to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 58%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.35 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.00 for Zeleznicar Pancevo.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Spartak Subotica 1-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Serbia - Super League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zeleznicar Pancevo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 32%, draw 32%, Zeleznicar Pancevo 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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