BUL 1-0 Vipers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 1 May 2024

BUL
1-0 HT 1-0
Vipers
📅01/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
26%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
40%
Away Win
29%
+10.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.6pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vipers EU Bookmakers 33%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.40/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/0.44
+24% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +139%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Vipers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
09.02.2022 BUL BUL 1-3 HT 1-2 Vipers Vipers UGA
08.01.2022 Vipers Vipers 1-1 HT 0-0 BUL BUL UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
1-0
AWAY Vipers
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH BUL vs Vipers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL edged past Vipers 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day BUL made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, BUL had 44% of the ball to Vipers's 56%, shots finished 4-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vipers led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BUL and 2.00 for Vipers.

What was the final score of BUL vs Vipers?

BUL 1-0 Vipers in the Uganda - Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs Vipers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split BUL 35%, draw 25%, Vipers 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vipers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vipers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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