Kampala City 2-0 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
24%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+5.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-5.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kampala City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 32%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.57
-23% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +84%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kampala City
0W-2D-0L
AWAY SC Villa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
12.03.2022 Kampala City Kampala City 0-0 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
18.12.2021 SC Villa SC Villa 1-1 HT 0-0 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kampala City
2-0
AWAY SC Villa
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kampala City vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kampala City saw off SC Villa 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kampala City had 50% of the ball to SC Villa's 50%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kampala City and 0.50 for SC Villa.

What was the final score of Kampala City vs SC Villa?

Kampala City 2-0 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kampala City vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 50%, draw 26%, SC Villa 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kampala City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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UGA More Uganda - Premier League
1 May 2024
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