Chornomorets Odessa 1-4 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.95
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
61%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
26%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+8.4pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.2pp
61%
Away Win
76%
-15.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.2pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 81%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
0.99/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/0.58
+24% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +39%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
03.04.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1 HT 2-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKRK
02.04.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 2-2 HT 2-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
10.09.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 HT 0-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
21.08.2021 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-3 HT 0-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
02.03.2019 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
23.09.2018 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk cruised past Chornomorets Odessa 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 2.50 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Chornomorets Odessa 1-4 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 18%, draw 21%, Shakhtar Donetsk 61%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UKR More Ukraine - Premier League
1 May 2024
15:30 Dynamo Kiev vs Veres Rivne Analysis →