Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 1 May 2024

Hermanos Colmenarez
1-2 HT 0-1
Deportivo La Guaira
📅01/05/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Hermanos Colmenarez vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hermanos Colmenarez v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 33%
-13% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +9%
0.90/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.54
-11% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.0 Crosses 15.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Hermanos Colmenarez vs Deportivo La Guaira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 0.92
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
297 Passes 429
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
16.09.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 HT 1-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
25.02.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
15.10.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
08.10.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
02.09.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN

Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
1-2
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.61 xG 1.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
352 Passes 328
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hermanos Colmenarez vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira squeezed past Hermanos Colmenarez 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Deportivo La Guaira found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hermanos Colmenarez had 51% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 49%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.61 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hermanos Colmenarez and 1.00 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Hermanos Colmenarez vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermanos Colmenarez vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hermanos Colmenarez win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hermanos Colmenarez 39%, draw 28%, Deportivo La Guaira 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hermanos Colmenarez) ✗ Under 2.5
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