Djurgarden vs Chelsea Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Djurgarden v Chelsea — Team-Based Signals
Djurgarden 1-4 Chelsea — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea cruised past Djurgarden 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Djurgarden had 42% of the ball to Chelsea's 58%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.39 to 2.06.
What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Chelsea?
Djurgarden 1-4 Chelsea in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Chelsea?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 20%, draw 24%, Chelsea 55%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.