Real Betis 2-1 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.78
Over
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.97
2-3
37%
1.77
4-5
25%
3.77
6+
10%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.27
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
21%
4.26
X/2
9%
9.68
X/X
11%
4.7
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
8%
8.04
2/X
7%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Real Betis win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina The Market 23%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.6 Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
06.08.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 3-1 HT 2-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina HAZ
11.08.2014 Real Betis Real Betis 1-2 HT 0-2 Fiorentina Fiorentina HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
2-1
AWAY Fiorentina
1.87 xG 1.05
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
329 Passes 411
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Fiorentina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis edged past Fiorentina 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Betis as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Real Betis had 45% of the ball to Fiorentina's 55%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.87 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Real Betis and 1.50 for Fiorentina.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Fiorentina?

Real Betis 2-1 Fiorentina in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Fiorentina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 54%, draw 23%, Fiorentina 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Betis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Betis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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