Wolfsberger AC 1-0 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
4.14
6+ Goals
13%
19.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.14 — our 22% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.81
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
15%
4.65
X/2
16%
7.53
X/X
18%
4.37
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
10%
5.91
2/X
3%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsberger AC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hartberg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.37 xG 1.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
356 Passes 346
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Hartberg Hartberg 0-3 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
05.10.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 2-3 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
10.12.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-0 HT 1-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
02.09.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 0-3 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
20.05.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 0-2 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
21.04.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 2-2 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsberger AC
1-0
AWAY Hartberg
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolfsberger AC vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsberger AC edged past Hartberg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Wolfsberger AC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wolfsberger AC had 46% of the ball to Hartberg's 54%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 1.67 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Wolfsberger AC vs Hartberg?

Wolfsberger AC 1-0 Hartberg in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsberger AC vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsberger AC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wolfsberger AC 40%, draw 29%, Hartberg 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsberger AC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →