Wolfsberger AC 2-3 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.68
6+ Goals
12%
15.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.68 — our 25% vs market 21.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.34
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
10%
5.12
X/2
16%
6.11
X/X
11%
4.41
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
16%
4.29
2/X
10%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.8pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.40/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.62
+9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.3 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsberger AC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hartberg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.27 xG 1.89
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 Passes 312
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-0 HT 1-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
02.09.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 0-3 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
20.05.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 0-2 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
21.04.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 2-2 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
04.03.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-1 HT 1-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
17.09.2022 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 3-1 HT 1-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsberger AC
2-3
AWAY Hartberg
1.37 xG 2.34
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
395 Passes 382
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolfsberger AC vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg edged past Wolfsberger AC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Hartberg made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Wolfsberger AC had 50% of the ball to Hartberg's 50%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.37 to 2.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 1.67 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Wolfsberger AC vs Hartberg?

Wolfsberger AC 2-3 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsberger AC vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wolfsberger AC 32%, draw 29%, Hartberg 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartberg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hartberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2024
18:00 Austria Wien vs Grazer AK Analysis →
18:00 Swarovski Tirol vs Blau-Weiss Linz Analysis →