Swarovski Tirol 1-1 Blau-Weiss Linz — Result, Stats & Model Review (Austria - Bundesliga, 5 Oct 2024)

Swarovski Tirol

1-1 HT 0-1

Blau-Weiss Linz

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗

Austria - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Swarovski Tirol vs Blau-Weiss Linz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

40%

2.57

Draw

28%

3.11

Away

32%

2.51

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58%

1.75

Over 2.5

42%

1.97

Both Teams to Score

Yes

45%

1.75

55%

1.96

Total Goals

0-1 Goal EV+ ✗

34%

3.04

2-3 Goals

38%

1.78

4-5 Goals

19%

3.84

6+ Goals

16.9

Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 34% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

13%

3.96

1/2

30.0

1/X

12.75

X/1

20%

5.74

X/2

11%

5.46

X/X

15%

4.21

2/1

31.5

2/2

12%

3.7

2/X

12.65

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

40%

Home Win

35%

+4.7pp

28%

Draw

29%

-0.5pp

32%

Away Win

36%

-4.1pp

58%

Under 2.5

53%

+5.2pp

42%

Over 2.5

47%

-5.2pp

45%

BTTS Yes

53%

-8.1pp

55%

BTTS No

47%

+8.1pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swarovski Tirol v Blau-Weiss Linz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 39%

Head to Head

AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 40%

-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%

1.32/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.35

-1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -40%

50% Ball Possession 50%

13 Total Shots 10

4 Shots on Target 4

5 Corners 4

274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 77%

20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9

17.2 Crosses 17.4

2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Swarovski Tirol vs Blau-Weiss Linz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Swarovski Tirol

2W-1D-3L

AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz

2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33

1.25 xG 1.29

52% Ball Possession 48%

10 Total Shots 13

4 Shots on Target 4

5 Corners 5

318 Passes 288

75% Pass Accuracy 74%

19 Box Touches 25

16 Crosses 16

2 Yellow Cards 2

The Meetings

04.05.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz

3-2 HT 2-1

Swarovski Tirol AVU

13.04.2024 Swarovski Tirol

2-1 HT 1-0

Blau-Weiss Linz AVU

10.12.2023 Blau-Weiss Linz

1-2 HT 1-1

Swarovski Tirol AVU

02.09.2023 Swarovski Tirol

2-4 HT 1-2

Blau-Weiss Linz AVU

01.12.2022 Blau-Weiss Linz

4-3 HT 1-1

Swarovski Tirol HAZ

29.03.2019 Blau-Weiss Linz

1-1 HT 1-1

Swarovski Tirol AU2

Swarovski Tirol 1-1 Blau-Weiss Linz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Swarovski Tirol

1-1

AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz

1.13 xG 1.06

59% Ball Possession 41%

12 Total Shots 14

2 Shots on Target 2

1 Corners 9

396 Passes 236

78% Pass Accuracy 71%

21 Box Touches 28

14 Crosses 25

2 Yellow Cards 1

POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs Blau-Weiss Linz

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swarovski Tirol and Blau-Weiss Linz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 59% of the ball to Blau-Weiss Linz's 41%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.13 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blau-Weiss Linz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 2.33 for Blau-Weiss Linz.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Swarovski Tirol 1-1 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swarovski Tirol win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 40%, draw 28%, Blau-Weiss Linz 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Swarovski Tirol), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swarovski Tirol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No

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