Swarovski Tirol 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
37%
3.04
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
4.77
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.75
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.65
X/1
12%
5.13
X/2
16%
5.62
X/X
17%
3.81
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
9%
4.25
2/X
10%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.2pp
37%
Draw
30%
+7.4pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.46/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/1.20
+13% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
17.4 Crosses 7.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swarovski Tirol
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.43 xG 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
335 Passes 266
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 HT 1-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
02.09.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-4 HT 1-2 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
01.12.2022 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 4-3 HT 1-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol HAZ
29.03.2019 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-1 HT 1-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AU2
24.08.2018 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-0 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
25.05.2018 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 2-2 HT 0-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
2-1
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
0.86 xG 0.42
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
326 Passes 361
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs Blau-Weiss Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swarovski Tirol edged past Blau-Weiss Linz 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 37% / 32%) promised a tight game; Swarovski Tirol found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 47% of the ball to Blau-Weiss Linz's 53%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.86 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 2.00 for Blau-Weiss Linz.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Swarovski Tirol 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 31%, draw 37%, Blau-Weiss Linz 32%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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