Wolfsberger AC 0-1 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2024

Wolfsberger AC
0-1 HT 0-1
Austria Wien
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.74
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
49%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.28
6+ Goals
7%
21.35
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.77 — our 49% vs market 49.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
4.14
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
10%
5.65
X/2
8%
5.17
X/X
16%
4.07
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
17%
3.65
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolfsberger AC v Austria Wien — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.17/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.39
-1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
17.4 Crosses 18.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsberger AC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Austria Wien
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.89 xG 1.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
251 Passes 315
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-0 HT 1-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
20.08.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
13.11.2022 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
21.08.2022 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
27.04.2022 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-1 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
13.03.2022 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 1-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU

Wolfsberger AC 0-1 Austria Wien — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsberger AC
0-1
AWAY Austria Wien
0.26 xG 2.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
238 Passes 263
64% Pass Accuracy 69%
8 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien nicked a narrow win over Wolfsberger AC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Austria Wien found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wolfsberger AC had 48% of the ball to Austria Wien's 52%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 0.26 to 2.09 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Austria Wien's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 0.83 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Wien?

Wolfsberger AC 0-1 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsberger AC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wolfsberger AC 39%, draw 27%, Austria Wien 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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