Al Sharjah 1-2 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.85
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.53/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.81
+0% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
16.6 Crosses 13.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sharjah
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Baniyas SC
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.72 xG 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
365 Passes 285
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2025 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAECK
31.10.2024 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-4 HT 1-2 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
10.05.2024 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-3 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
28.10.2023 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 5-0 HT 3-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
04.02.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
26.11.2022 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 2-3 HT 1-2 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sharjah
1-2
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.89 xG 1.41
83% Ball Possession 17%
29 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 0
564 Passes 56
89% Pass Accuracy 43%
52 Box Touches 11
40 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Sharjah vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baniyas SC edged past Al Sharjah 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Sharjah at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Sharjah had 83% of the ball to Baniyas SC's 17%, shots finished 29-8, expected goals 1.89 to 1.41 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Sharjah.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sharjah had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Al Sharjah and 1.00 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Al Sharjah vs Baniyas SC?

Al Sharjah 1-2 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sharjah vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Sharjah 56%, draw 22%, Baniyas SC 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Sharjah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Sharjah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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