Hebar 1918 1-3 Levski Krumovgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.6
Over
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
41%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebar 1918 The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad The Market 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.79/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.45
-30% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +149%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebar 1918
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.04.2025 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 1-0 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
26.10.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-0 HT 0-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
03.04.2024 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 3-2 HT 2-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
02.10.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-0 HT 0-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebar 1918
1-3
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hebar 1918 vs Levski Krumovgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Krumovgrad saw off Hebar 1918 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Hebar 1918 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hebar 1918 had 62% of the ball to Levski Krumovgrad's 38%, shots finished 18-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Levski Krumovgrad led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hebar 1918 and 1.00 for Levski Krumovgrad.

What was the final score of Hebar 1918 vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Hebar 1918 1-3 Levski Krumovgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebar 1918 vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hebar 1918 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hebar 1918 41%, draw 30%, Levski Krumovgrad 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hebar 1918) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →