Levski Krumovgrad 3-2 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 25%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.97/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.18
-24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hebar 1918
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
02.10.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-0 HT 0-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
3-2
AWAY Hebar 1918
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Levski Krumovgrad vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Krumovgrad nicked a narrow win over Hebar 1918 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Levski Krumovgrad as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levski Krumovgrad had 43% of the ball to Hebar 1918's 57%, shots finished 8-5.

What was the final score of Levski Krumovgrad vs Hebar 1918?

Levski Krumovgrad 3-2 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Krumovgrad vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Krumovgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Levski Krumovgrad 44%, draw 30%, Hebar 1918 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Krumovgrad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Krumovgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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