CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSKA Sofia v Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Team-Based Signals
CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
CSKA Sofia
BUL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
BUL1
CSKA Sofia 1-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv squeezed past CSKA Sofia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CSKA Sofia at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, CSKA Sofia had 56% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 44%, shots finished 15-12.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.00 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
CSKA Sofia 1-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 64%, draw 18%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia), BTTS No went the other way.