Ludogorets Razgrad 5-1 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 19%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+59% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Levski Sofia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.06.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-2 HT 1-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
5-1
AWAY Levski Sofia
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad ran out comfortable winners over Levski Sofia 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 40% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 60%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 1.00 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Levski Sofia?

Ludogorets Razgrad 5-1 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 49%, draw 26%, Levski Sofia 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ BTTS No
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