Inter Miami 1-3 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.43
Over Pick
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.9
2-3
38%
1.94
4-5
24%
2.64
6+
14%
6.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.5pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps The Market 22%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.87/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.63
+24% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
13.7 Crosses 7.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.90 xG 1.71
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
510 Passes 324
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami CON
26.05.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
1-3
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.55 xG 1.16
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
379 Passes 264
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps saw off Inter Miami 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Miami at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Inter Miami had 58% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 42%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.55 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Inter Miami and 1.50 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Inter Miami 1-3 Vancouver Whitecaps in the CONCACAF Champions League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 51%, draw 28%, Vancouver Whitecaps 22%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Miami) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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