Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
2.18
Over
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
29%
4.36
2-3
38%
1.88
4-5
22%
2.96
6+
11%
8.83
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.36 — our 29% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.17
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
18%
4.16
X/2
9%
9.35
X/X
14%
5.75
2/1
7%
21.2
2/2
14%
6.63
2/X
8%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-13.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
2.00/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.42
+6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.5 Crosses 13.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
1-2
AWAY Inter Miami
2.25 xG 1.26
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
407 Passes 416
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
38 Box Touches 14
38 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami edged past Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vancouver Whitecaps at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 51% of the ball to Inter Miami's 49%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.25 to 1.26 — on chances, Vancouver Whitecaps could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Inter Miami?

Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 41%, draw 28%, Inter Miami 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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