DC United vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
DC United v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
DC United vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
DC United
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
DC United
ABD
0-2
HT 0-1
Chicago Fire
ABD
3-0
HT 3-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
2-2
HT 1-0
DC United
ABD
DC United 1-1 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
DC United and Chicago Fire couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was DC United at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.
On the day, DC United had 48% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 52%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.16 to 0.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for DC United and 0.83 for Chicago Fire.
What was the final score of DC United vs Chicago Fire?
DC United 1-1 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for DC United vs Chicago Fire?
Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split DC United 52%, draw 22%, Chicago Fire 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (DC United), Over 2.5 went the other way.