Orlando City 0-2 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 28% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +17%
1.49/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.46
-14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
19.0 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Columbus Crew
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.51 xG 2.58
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
334 Passes 436
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 0-2 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
17.09.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 4-3 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
14.05.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-2 HT 2-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
09.10.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 2-1 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
17.04.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-2 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
28.10.2021 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-2 HT 2-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
0-2
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.29 xG 2.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
416 Passes 528
90% Pass Accuracy 91%
30 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew beat Orlando City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Columbus Crew made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Orlando City had 45% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 55%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.29 to 2.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Orlando City and 1.83 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Columbus Crew?

Orlando City 0-2 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 38%, draw 26%, Columbus Crew 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Orlando City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orlando City) ✓ BTTS No
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