Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v FC Cincinnati — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-2
FC Cincinnati
ABD
3-0
HT 1-0
Toronto FC
ABD
2-0
HT 1-0
Toronto FC
ABD
1-2
HT 0-1
FC Cincinnati
ABD
3-2
HT 0-1
FC Cincinnati
ABD
Toronto FC 3-4 FC Cincinnati — Actual Match Statistics
FC Cincinnati nicked a narrow win over Toronto FC 4-3 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 31%) promised a tight game; FC Cincinnati found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Toronto FC had 49% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 51%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.36 to 1.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Toronto FC and 2.00 for FC Cincinnati.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati?
Toronto FC 3-4 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toronto FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 40%, draw 28%, FC Cincinnati 31%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Toronto FC) went the other way.