New England Revolution 0-1 New York City FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
4.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
19%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
7.93
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.7 — our 30% vs market 16.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.6pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY New York City FC EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.56/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.29
-25% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.8 Crosses 14.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
1W-2D-3L
AWAY New York City FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.72 xG 2.42
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
304 Passes 491
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 2-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
03.06.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 0-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
02.04.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-1 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
05.09.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 3-0 HT 2-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
09.07.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 4-2 HT 2-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
26.05.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 1-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
0-1
AWAY New York City FC
0.68 xG 1.52
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
468 Passes 333
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs New York City FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York City FC nicked a narrow win over New England Revolution 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day New York City FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 56% of the ball to New York City FC's 44%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 0.68 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New England Revolution and 1.33 for New York City FC.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs New York City FC?

New England Revolution 0-1 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs New York City FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 38%, draw 29%, New York City FC 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (New England Revolution) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✓ Under 2.5
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