New York City FC 2-0 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
12%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 25% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.38
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
19%
4.21
X/2
9%
8.44
X/X
8%
5.12
2/1
10%
23.15
2/2
12%
6.25
2/X
9%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York City FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.80/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.84
-8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
16.9 Crosses 16.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York City FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY New England Revolution
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.18 xG 0.82
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
512 Passes 305
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.06.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 0-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
02.04.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-1 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
05.09.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 3-0 HT 2-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
09.07.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 4-2 HT 2-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
26.05.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 1-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABDK
01.12.2021 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-2 HT 1-1 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York City FC
2-0
AWAY New England Revolution
2.52 xG 0.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
358 Passes 317
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
38 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH New York City FC vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York City FC saw off New England Revolution 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had New York City FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, New York City FC had 52% of the ball to New England Revolution's 48%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.52 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for New York City FC and 1.33 for New England Revolution.

What was the final score of New York City FC vs New England Revolution?

New York City FC 2-0 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York City FC vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 49%, draw 25%, New England Revolution 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New York City FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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