New York Red Bulls 0-0 Chicago Fire — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.01
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.8
X/1
14%
3.77
X/2
7%
10.95
X/X
8%
5.31
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
12%
8.75
2/X
9%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +1%
1.53/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.83
-6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
18.8 Crosses 15.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chicago Fire
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.60 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
280 Passes 252
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-1 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
30.04.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-1 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
19.05.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 3-3 HT 1-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
01.05.2022 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-2 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
29.08.2021 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-1 HT 0-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
09.08.2021 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 2-1 HT 2-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
0-0
AWAY Chicago Fire
1.42 xG 0.56
34% Ball Possession 66%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
250 Passes 562
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was New York Red Bulls at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 34% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 66%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.42 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chicago Fire led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.50 for Chicago Fire.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?

New York Red Bulls 0-0 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 53%, draw 23%, Chicago Fire 24%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✗ Over 2.5
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