Sporting Kansas City 2-3 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 Apr 2024

Sporting Kansas City
2-3 HT 1-1
Inter Miami
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Sporting Kansas City vs Inter Miami Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
7.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.87
1/2
5%
23.6
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
12%
6.29
X/2
12%
5.41
X/X
13%
5.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
26.5
2/2
19%
3.14
2/X
6%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 6% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.3pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Kansas City v Inter Miami — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.68/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.07
-1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
284 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
15.5 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Sporting Kansas City vs Inter Miami Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Kansas City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Inter Miami
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.43 xG 2.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
447 Passes 379
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.09.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-2 HT 2-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD

Sporting Kansas City 2-3 Inter Miami — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Kansas City
2-3
AWAY Inter Miami
0.64 xG 0.93
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
336 Passes 580
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Kansas City vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami nicked a narrow win over Sporting Kansas City 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Inter Miami found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Kansas City had 40% of the ball to Inter Miami's 60%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.64 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Inter Miami?

Sporting Kansas City 2-3 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 37%, draw 27%, Inter Miami 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
14 Apr 2024
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Analysis →
02:30 CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati Analysis →
02:30 Charlotte vs Toronto FC Analysis →
02:30 New York City FC vs New England Revolution Analysis →
02:30 DC United vs Orlando City Analysis →
03:30 Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo Analysis →