Charlotte vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Toronto FC
ABD
2-2
HT 2-0
Charlotte
ABD
0-2
HT 0-0
Toronto FC
ABD
4-0
HT 4-0
Charlotte
ABD
Charlotte 3-2 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics
Charlotte edged past Toronto FC 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Charlotte as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Charlotte had 43% of the ball to Toronto FC's 57%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.98 to 1.86 — the balance of chances actually favoured Toronto FC.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Toronto FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Charlotte and 1.80 for Toronto FC.
What was the final score of Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
Charlotte 3-2 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 54%, draw 26%, Toronto FC 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.