Toronto FC 1-0 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 9 Mar 2024

Toronto FC
1-0 HT 0-0
Charlotte
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
USA - Major League – 2024

Toronto FC vs Charlotte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.69
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
13%
5.26
X/2
16%
5.55
X/X
14%
4.24
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
18%
3.98
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Toronto FC v Charlotte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.25/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.68
-18% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
15.1 Crosses 11.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Toronto FC vs Charlotte Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toronto FC
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Charlotte
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.78 xG 1.93
44% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
318 Passes 432
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.10.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 3-0 HT 2-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
02.04.2023 Toronto FC Toronto FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
28.08.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 0-2 HT 0-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
24.07.2022 Toronto FC Toronto FC 4-0 HT 4-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD

Toronto FC 1-0 Charlotte — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toronto FC
1-0
AWAY Charlotte
0.54 xG 0.92
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
493 Passes 297
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Toronto FC vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toronto FC squeezed past Charlotte 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Toronto FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Toronto FC had 59% of the ball to Charlotte's 41%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.54 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Toronto FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Toronto FC and 1.25 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Charlotte?

Toronto FC 1-0 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 35%, draw 27%, Charlotte 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Charlotte), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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