New York City FC vs Portland Timbers Prediction — Model Probabilities
New York City FC v Portland Timbers — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs Portland Timbers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New York City FC 1-2 Portland Timbers — Actual Match Statistics
Portland Timbers shaded a tight game against New York City FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was New York City FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, New York City FC had 40% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 60%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.32 to 0.90 — by the quality of chances, New York City FC deserved more.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for New York City FC and 1.67 for Portland Timbers.
New York City FC vs Portland Timbers Result & Final Score
New York City FC 1 - 2 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New York City FC vs Portland Timbers Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 49%, draw 27%, Portland Timbers 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New York City FC) went the other way.