Atlanta United 0-1 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.71
2-3 Goals
45%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -28%
1.21/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.33
+2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
19.1 Crosses 14.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlanta United
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 1.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
331 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.06.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
15.08.2021 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
27.07.2019 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-3 HT 4-2 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
08.04.2018 Atlanta United Atlanta United 5-0 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlanta United
0-1
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.27 xG 0.89
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
418 Passes 225
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atlanta United vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC edged past Atlanta United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Los Angeles FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Atlanta United had 63% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 37%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.27 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atlanta United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Atlanta United and 1.00 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Atlanta United vs Los Angeles FC?

Atlanta United 0-1 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 35%, draw 26%, Los Angeles FC 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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ABD More USA - Major League
26 May 2024
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