FC Cincinnati 0-0 Toronto FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.12
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
18%
4.08
X/2
6%
9.73
X/X
10%
5.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.3
2/2
13%
7.01
2/X
9%
15.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.3 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.71/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.99
+6% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
14.1 Crosses 11.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Toronto FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.11 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
354 Passes 383
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Toronto FC Toronto FC 2-3 HT 2-2 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
22.06.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-0 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
05.05.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-0 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
30.04.2022 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
30.09.2021 Toronto FC Toronto FC 3-2 HT 0-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
12.09.2021 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-0 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
0-0
AWAY Toronto FC
0.89 xG 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
374 Passes 360
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was FC Cincinnati at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 51% of the ball to Toronto FC's 49%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 0.89 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.00 for Toronto FC.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC?

FC Cincinnati 0-0 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 49%, draw 27%, Toronto FC 24%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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