Charlotte vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Charlotte
ABD
3-2
HT 2-1
New York City FC
ABD
1-0
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
1-3
HT 1-1
Charlotte
ABD
Charlotte 1-0 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
Charlotte nicked a narrow win over New York City FC 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Charlotte as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Charlotte had 38% of the ball to New York City FC's 62%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 2.01 to 0.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Charlotte's control.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Charlotte had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Charlotte and 1.00 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of Charlotte vs New York City FC?
Charlotte 1-0 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 45%, draw 25%, New York City FC 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.