Houston Dynamo 1-1 Sporting Kansas City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 Feb 2024

Houston Dynamo
1-1 HT 0-0
Sporting Kansas City
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.15
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
16%
4.67
X/2
10%
6.47
X/X
10%
4.05
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
14%
4.98
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Houston Dynamo v Sporting Kansas City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.60/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.62
+1% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.6 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 1.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
398 Passes 315
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.11.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
24.09.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-1 HT 2-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
09.07.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
11.05.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABDK
11.09.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
26.05.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-1 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABDK

Houston Dynamo 1-1 Sporting Kansas City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
1-1
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
1.00 xG 0.16
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
530 Passes 321
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo and Sporting Kansas City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Houston Dynamo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 60% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 40%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.00 to 0.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Houston Dynamo and 1.00 for Sporting Kansas City.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City?

Houston Dynamo 1-1 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 44%, draw 27%, Sporting Kansas City 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Houston Dynamo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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