Orlando City 0-0 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.02
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.8
X/1
20%
3.8
X/2
6%
10.55
X/X
11%
5.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.7
2/2
10%
8.26
2/X
5%
16.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.82/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.41
+20% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
17.6 Crosses 16.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY CF Montreal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.05 xG 1.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
336 Passes 371
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 3-0 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
07.05.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
17.10.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
07.05.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-1 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
27.02.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 2-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
07.11.2021 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-2 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
0-0
AWAY CF Montreal
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
537 Passes 338
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City and CF Montreal played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Orlando City at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Orlando City had 60% of the ball to CF Montreal's 40%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orlando City and 1.33 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs CF Montreal?

Orlando City 0-0 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 54%, draw 24%, CF Montreal 22%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Orlando City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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