Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Philadelphia Union v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
4-1
HT 2-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
1-1
HT 1-1
Chicago Fire
ABD
3-3
HT 1-2
Philadelphia Union
ABD
Philadelphia Union 2-2 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Philadelphia Union at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Philadelphia Union had 54% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 46%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.08 to 1.58.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.33 for Chicago Fire.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
Philadelphia Union 2-2 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 50%, draw 28%, Chicago Fire 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.