DC United 3-1 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 Feb 2024

DC United
3-1 HT 1-0
New England Revolution
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

DC United vs New England Revolution Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.03
Over 2.5
60%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.16
6+ Goals
16%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.75
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
18%
4.77
X/2
8%
7.25
X/X
12%
4.96
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
12%
4.97
2/X
5%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

DC United v New England Revolution — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.49/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.54
+1% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.1 Crosses 19.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

DC United vs New England Revolution Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY New England Revolution
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.56 xG 1.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
302 Passes 375
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.07.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 4-0 HT 2-0 DC United DC United ABD
26.03.2023 DC United DC United 1-2 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
14.08.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABD
24.04.2022 DC United DC United 3-2 HT 3-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
21.10.2021 DC United DC United 2-3 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
19.08.2021 New England Revolution New England Revolution 3-2 HT 0-1 DC United DC United ABD

DC United 3-1 New England Revolution — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
3-1
AWAY New England Revolution
4.58 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
30 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
321 Passes 258
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
53 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH DC United vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United got the better of New England Revolution 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had DC United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, DC United had 54% of the ball to New England Revolution's 46%, shots finished 30-10, expected goals 4.58 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for DC United and 2.50 for New England Revolution.

What was the final score of DC United vs New England Revolution?

DC United 3-1 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split DC United 49%, draw 24%, New England Revolution 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (DC United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (DC United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
25 Feb 2024
00:30 Los Angeles FC vs Seattle Sounders Analysis →
03:30 Charlotte vs New York City FC Analysis →
03:30 Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Analysis →
03:30 Orlando City vs CF Montreal Analysis →
04:30 FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes Analysis →
04:30 Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City Analysis →